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of course debuts can do well if they're good. Some of it will also depend on marketing and genre, but there's nothing stopping a first novel from being a smash.
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#4: Attribution notice removed
Source: https://writers.stackexchange.com/a/12268 License name: CC BY-SA 3.0 License URL: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/
#3: Attribution notice added
Source: https://writers.stackexchange.com/a/12268 License name: CC BY-SA 3.0 License URL: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/