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I don't think "mind boggling" stupidity will be plausible, otherwise, why weren't they overthrown decades ago? Just because nobody thought of it? That's not a good enough reason for an oppressive r...
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#3: Attribution notice added
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#2: Initial revision
I don't think "mind boggling" stupidity will be plausible, otherwise, why weren't they overthrown **decades** ago? Just because nobody thought of it? That's not a good enough reason for an oppressive regime that rules a large number of people; there is **always** some percentage of any country that hates the government (even our own here in the USA). What a totalitarian regime **can** be is mind-bogglingly wasteful of gold and lives, and mind-bogglingly cruel to dissenters and even innocents they _think_ are dissenters. They can be mind-bogglingly adamant on religious adherence, even if the leaders themselves are not and partake of drugs, sexual orgies, liquor, and rock-and-roll with abandon -- religion keeps the subjects in check and gives them something to worry about. A totalitarian regime, even if not very competent in actual battle, is typically very good at the psychopathy of scaring the shit out of their subjects to keep them in line. Due to that fright, your rebels may find themselves unable to trust anyone, betrayed by the very citizens they are trying to free, informed upon, spied upon, and in real danger because if they are caught, they are publicly and slowly skinned alive and tortured to create the maximum screaming pain possible, just as an example. And don't think most of the citizens will be outraged by this, most of them will be cowed. I would make your antagonists (like the British fighting the American Colonists) not exactly incompetent, but wasteful of men, stuck in traditional battle, and unable to adapt to guerrilla tactics, hit-and-run ambush (i.e. the rebels kill a few and then run like hell), subterfuge (roadside bombs / traps, or similar lethal traps in woods), supply line disruption, and so on. I would not make this fight between competent fighters and incompetent fighters; I would make between highly intelligent fighters and normally competent fighters. The regime doesn't stumble. The rebels keep outsmarting them. Because the rebel leaders are smart, and to them the regime is predictable, and anything predictable can be exploited.